Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.043141 2.366715 2.722554 3.142591 3.624558 4.159989 4.799656
2025-02-16 1.508612 1.910879 2.391715 3.007672 3.774644 4.697063 5.889564
2025-02-23 1.130587 1.550421 2.090683 2.834436 3.829173 5.110932 6.885031
2025-03-02 0.858387 1.265139 1.824688 2.646568 3.818427 5.423979 7.784751
2025-03-09 0.708790 1.114895 1.708115 2.631528 4.025396 6.041896 9.169525
2025-03-16 0.577468 0.964963 1.563363 2.546098 4.109254 6.485993 10.356106
2025-03-23 0.521667 0.920396 1.567596 2.682527 4.540441 7.492517 12.510277
2025-03-30 0.466129 0.865463 1.544594 2.767930 4.896636 8.419794 14.650426
2025-04-06 0.407044 0.793469 1.480479 2.771531 5.111872 9.137039 16.525615
2025-04-13 0.337320 0.689721 1.344048 2.625533 5.042759 9.357858 17.568935
2025-04-20 0.308619 0.658818 1.334973 2.709212 5.395251 10.352079 20.091211
2025-04-27 0.290022 0.644668 1.354932 2.849346 5.868638 11.614908 23.245159
2025-05-04 0.262167 0.608030 1.327778 2.897939 6.181668 12.634671 26.103441
2025-05-11 0.235555 0.569572 1.291270 2.922343 6.450103 13.601839 28.981007
2025-05-18 0.203922 0.514213 1.210401 2.840509 6.486537 14.110683 30.998908
2025-05-25 0.172933 0.454610 1.110634 2.701349 6.378845 14.306448 32.384447
2025-06-01 0.156437 0.427342 1.080319 2.715268 6.611132 15.246104 35.465306
2025-06-08 0.136991 0.389020 1.017891 2.644114 6.638575 15.741672 37.627930
2025-06-15 0.131966 0.387771 1.045768 2.796126 7.211117 17.519622 42.881217
2025-06-22 0.124330 0.378035 1.050752 2.891440 7.658434 19.060015 47.758069
2025-06-29 0.113403 0.357021 1.023238 2.899012 7.888328 20.115244 51.606491
2025-07-06 0.097282 0.317782 0.940795 2.748700 7.694687 20.129092 52.936933
2025-07-13 0.092110 0.310652 0.945787 2.837452 8.139265 21.763618 58.461840